Residential investment down 37%

Residential investments in Singapore for 2013 declined by around 37 percent year-on-year to S$6.4 billion, on the back of fewer transactions for Government Land Sales (GLS) sites and tepid activity in the collective sales market, said a report from DTZ.

Only two private residential GLS sites at Upper Serangoon View were sold in Q4 2013 at S$460.4 million, bringing overall investment activity in the residential sector to S$500.0 million, or the lowest quarterly level since Q2 2009.

Meanwhile, investment activities continue to be dominated by local investors, although foreign investments soared by more than 30 percent year-on-year in 2013 to reach S$4.1 billion.

The majority of foreign investors were from Asia, with Chinese investors tripling their total investment in Singaporean properties. Notably, some Chinese developers were active in GLS tenders for executive condominium (EC) and private residential sites.

Specifically, Chinese developers acquired several private residential sites: the two sites at Upper Serangoon View were awarded to Kingsford Development, a site at Tampines Avenue 10 was sold to MCC Land (Singapore), while two EC sites at Woodlands Avenue 5/Woodlands Avenue 6 and Anchorvale Crescent were won by Qingjian Realty (South Pacific) Group.

Going forward, market activity is expected to moderate this year due to a variety of factors, said Lee Lay Keng, DTZ’s Head of Singapore Research.

“While the near-term impact is not likely to be significant, the tapering of bond purchases by the US Federal Reserve could see investors seeking higher returns from their property investments in Singapore so property deals could take longer to be completed or investors could divert funds to other countries where they can get a higher return.”

“Residential investments are also likely to fall further given that collective sales continue to be difficult and there are fewer residential sites on the H1 2014 GLS programme,” she added.

Source : PropertyGuru –  2014 Jan 16

No credit bubble here: MAS

The Monetary Authority of Singapore has reacted strongly to a media article which claimed that Singapore was on the verge of an “Icelandic-style meltdown.”

In a statement to the media, MAS said Singapore is not facing a credit bubble that puts the country or the banking system at any risk of crisis, adding: “Serious observers and investors are not in doubt about the country’s financial health.”

The article, which was published by respected business magazine and website Forbes and was widely shared on social media channels, suggested “Low interest rates are helping to inflate a credit bubble in numerous sectors of the Singaporean economy, but the country’s household debt bubble is particularly alarming.

“Singapore’s ratio of household debt to gross domestic product recently hit approximately 75 percent, which is up from 55 percent in 2010 and 45 percent in 2005.

“Singapore’s household debt has risen by 41 percent since 2010, while household income has increased by only 25 percent and wages by a paltry 15 percent in comparison”

The five-page online article also claimed that Singapore’s household debt to GDP ratio is one of the highest in Asia.

MAS said that “it is clear that unusually low global interest rates have stimulated credit growth and an increase in property prices in recent years, in Singapore and some other economies that had recovered from the global crisis. That is why the government and MAS have taken decisive steps to cool property demand and prevent excessive leverage.”

The Forbes writer Jesse Colombo who focuses his writing on bubble economies around the world, admitted he’d yet to visit Singapore. He is widely recognised as being one of the first journalists to write about the Global Financial Crisis prior to it happening.

The full Forbes article can be read here: http://www.forbes.com/sites/jessecolombo/2014/01/13/why-singapores-economy-is-heading-for-an-iceland-style-meltdown/

Source : PropertyGuru –  2014 Jan 16