Forget COV, welcome to CUV

The days of COV (cash-over-valuation) are already coming to an end as incidents of CUV – cash-under-valuation transactions – become more common in all sectors of Singapore’s property resale market.

Examples of property buyers having to pay as much as S$100,000 above valuation were fairly common until recently. Now the balance is shifting and there are increasing numbers of transactions involving sellers accepting offers below, and in some cases significantly below, the valuation price of their property.

One Singapore real estate agent cited recent examples where sellers were willing to accept offers significantly less than the valuation price. One private property, valued at S$1.42 million, is likely to be transacted at S$1.25 million, the agent told PropertyGuru on condition of anonymity.

Evan Chung, Vice President of the Resale Division of real estate agency DTZ, said: “CUV transactions have already been transacted and are on the increase.”

Citing recent HDB data, Chung said that 28.5 percent of HDB resale deals during January 2014 were closed below valuation.

“Areas such as Sengkang and Jurong West are now seeing about half their transactions clocking in negative COVs, and I believe the percentage of CUV transactions will continue to rise over the year and likewise, we’ll see HDB valuations come down accordingly.”

Public data analysed by PropertyGuru this morning focusing solely on Jurong West showed average per sq ft prices for resale HDB properties in January 2014 stood at S$406. This was unchanged from the previous month but down from the S$426 per sqft one year earlier – a decline of 4.47 percent year-on-year.

Chung said that units in mature estates, and in good locations near MRT stations or a shopping mall, will still continue to see demand and command a certain COV.

“This is especially for units that are nicely renovated,” he added.

“For home buyers, the current trend is highly welcomed and I can say the cooling measures and increase in BTO supply have achieved their desired effect.

“However, I believe the authorities will be wise enough to ease off some of the measures in the near future, otherwise the displeasure that buyers have faced over the last few years will eventually be transferred to home owners when they see their property value erode too fast and by too much,” he concluded.

The flip side, of course, is that there are potential bargains on offer for serious buyers with finances in place.

Lucas Tan recently purchased a four-room HDB resale property in Tampines.

He said: “There were four almost identical properties on the market, but three of the four sellers were unwilling to negotiate. They were still living in last year in terms of prices.

“I eventually did a deal with the only seller who was being realistic and was willing to negotiate.”

Tan confirmed he paid under the valuation price for his property.

Andrew also contacted PropertyGuru to explain his situation.

He said: “I sold my 19-year-old 151 sqm freehold apartment in District 15 in November for S$1.43 million – about S$885 per sq ft. I was hoping for S$1,000 per sq ft but with more than 20 viewings in five weeks it was finally sold to a neighbour.”

He added: “To me this was a little low considering the newer though smaller-sized units were going at S$1,300 for resale.  However I decided to sell as I had lost my job, and I expect prices to drift lower by about 20 percent in the next few years, and will not recover unless the controls are significantly eased.”

Source : Property Guru 13 Feb 2014

MAS eases TDSR restrictions

The Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) on Monday eased the restrictive Total Debt Servicing Ratio (TDSR) on certain property buyers.

Below is the full statement from MAS:

The Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) has received feedback from borrowers who face challenges refinancing loans for owner-occupied properties which were bought before the introduction of the Total Debt Servicing Ratio (TDSR) rules. MAS has decided to broaden the existing exemption from the TDSR threshold of 60 percent for such loans to ease the debt servicing burden of these borrowers.

Refinancing of owner-occupied property loans

2. Under the revised rules, a borrower who bought a residential property before the TDSR rules were introduced – i.e. the Option to Purchase (OTP) of the residential property was granted before 29 June 2013 – will be exempted from the TDSR threshold as long as he occupies the residential property that is being refinanced. This is a concession compared to the current rules, which also require that he does not own any other property, or have any other outstanding property loan.

3. The Mortgage Servicing Ratio (MSR) will also not apply to the refinancing of loans for HDB flats and Executive Condominiums (ECs) that are owner-occupied and were purchased before their respective MSR implementation dates.

4. A similar concession will apply with regard to loan tenures, for residential properties purchased before the respective implementation dates for the loan tenure limits. In such cases, borrowers whose loan tenures for their owner-occupied residential properties exceed the current regulatory limits will be allowed to maintain the remaining tenures of their loans at the point of refinancing.

Refinancing of investment property loans

5. The TDSR threshold of 60 percent will continue to apply to the refinancing of all investment property loans. This is to encourage borrowers to right-size their loans and thereby reduce their vulnerability to adverse economic conditions or changes in interest rates. However, MAS recognises that some borrowers may face challenges in right-sizing their debt obligations in the short term; the starting level of debt may be too high and there may be significant costs involved if they had to sell their properties to reduce their leverage.

6. Therefore, MAS will allow a transition period until 30 June 2017, during which a borrower may refinance his investment property loans above the 60 percent threshold, provided he meets the following conditions:

  1. the OTP of the property was granted before 29 June 2013;
  2. the borrower commits to a debt reduction plan with the financial institution (FI) at the point of refinancing; and
  3. the borrower fulfils the FI’s credit assessment.

7. The changes are intended to help borrowers ease their immediate debt servicing burdens, while encouraging those who have taken on high leverage on their investment properties to right-size their loans as early as possible.

8. Borrowers should be aware that the current low interest rate environment will not persist indefinitely. When interest rates rise, borrowers will face higher mortgage repayments. Borrowers engaging in refinancing should therefore exercise prudence and review their debt commitments.

9. The revised rules will take immediate effect.

Source: MAS Press Release

11 Feb 2014