Tag Archives: Singapore Private Residential Property

Completed condo prices up 0.1%

Prices of completed condominiums edged up by 0.1 percent in January 2016 compared to the previous month, according to latest flash estimates of the NUS Singapore Residential Price Index (SRPI).

Based on the Index, prices of completed units in the central region (districts 1 to 4 and 9 to 11) dipped by 0.5 percent, while those in the non-central region rose by 0.5 percent. As for small units measuring up to 506 sq ft, prices climbed by 0.6 percent.

In comparison, the revised index for December 2015 shows that prices in all three segments fell on a month-on-month basis. Values in the central region fell by 0.8 percent, those in the non-central region posted a smaller decline of 0.6 percent, while prices of small units decreased by 0.3 percent. Consequently, prices across the island slid by 0.6 percent.

Notably, the revised index for December is based on the previous Basket 7, which covers a total of 78,877 units across 429 private non-landed developments in 26 postal districts completed from October 2003 to December 2013.

On the other hand, the flash estimates for January were derived from the current Basket 8, which covers a total of 111,811 units across 574 residential projects completed between October 2003 and September 2015.

According to a statement from the NUS Institute of Real Estate Studies (IRES), Basket 8 includes newer projects with better quality amenities compared to the previous basket. It also tracks 7,120 small units versus 3,092 units for Basket 7.

The usage of the new basket took effect on Monday (29 Feb), and the composition will be adjusted every two years.

S’pore may ease cooling measures in second half of 2016

Property cooling measures in Singapore could be eased as early as the second half of 2016 if private home prices continue falling, revealed Donald Han, Managing Director of Chesterton Singapore, at a luncheon hosted by Credit Suisse for its Singapore investors.

He believes a price drop of around 15 percent is likely to prompt an adjustment of current housing policies, given the small buffer before property owners slip into negative equity.

The Urban Redevelopment Authority’s (URA) residential price index has recorded an eight percent slide from the peak in Q3 2013.

As a result, property measures could be relaxed in 2H 2016, with rising interest rates acting as the “9th cooling measure”, shared Han.

“A reduction in the ABSD (Additional Buyer’s Stamp Duty) is most likely, but a reduction in the SSD (Seller’s Stamp Duty) could also materialise, should there be higher instances of mortgagee sales. The TDSR (Total Debt Servicing Ratio) is unlikely to be removed, however.

“Despite the easing of cooling measures and demand from PRs waiting to purchase, prices are only expected to bottom in 2018. New sales of 7,000 to 8,000 units are likely to be the new norm, with current unsold stock of around 24,000 units requiring three years to clear.”

Easing of cooling measures

Meanwhile, mass market homes are expected to see the fastest erosion in prices as the bulk of private supply is within the Outside Central Region (OCR), said Han. In addition, he predicts the large supply of up to 20,000 HDB flats in 2016 will put further pressure on suburban home prices.

This comes on the back of the “Bidadari” effect, where strong demand was seen in the November Build-To-Order (BTO) launch, which saw 5-room flats oversubscribed by 23 times.

In a report, Credit Suisse added: “We believe the stage is set for a pre-emptive re-calibration of cooling measures in 2H 2016, given persistent oversupply, speculative activity and foreign demand that have been curbed, while income growth has outpaced home prices. This would be a key re-rating catalyst for the sector.”

The Zurich-based firm has rated City Developments Limited (CDL) as its top pick among property developers, as “CDL is also best positioned for a turnaround in the Singapore residential market sentiment in 2016″.