Tag Archives: Real estate

Court ruling creates uncertainty for developers

In a landmark ruling last month, the Court of Appeal overturned a High Court decision and affirmed the right of the Chief Assessor to raise the annual land value for the Sail@Marina Bay site from the original S$27 million to S$51.4 million when it was re-assessed to market value in 2009, notwithstanding that pre-sales of units had taken place.

When the case first surfaced, I was surprised by the action of the tax authorities as the developer Glengary had sold nearly all of its residential units — 1,106 units or some 97 per cent — in 2004 and 2005, and could not possibly benefit much, if at all, from the subsequent sharp rise in land values.

The move shocked the real estate industry because such an action had never been undertaken before, especially considering that the land was bought from the State, which came with a stipulated fixed time limit for project completion. Thus, any intention to profit from land-banking activities would already have been severely curtailed.

The tax authorities may have wanted to establish a tax principle as well as set a precedent for future similar action, whether or not benefits have accrued to the developer.

Whether intended or not, the latest judgment has introduced more uncertainty into the business of property development, which is already a high-risk activity.

Developers will now have to factor into their tender bids any expected or unexpected significant increases in land value before their targeted project completion dates. In the current case, Glengary has to fork out more than S$2 million in additional taxes. While this amount may be small compared to the value of the project, it can have a significant impact on the developer’s cash flow.

Having earlier pre-sales and selling out completely within a few months of securing the site is now not without its disadvantages.

Also, now that a precedent of making the developer liable for increases in land value has been set, it also opens the path — in principle — for developers to apply for a downward revision of assessed land values should there be a sharp property market downturn following the land sale.

And if the additional property taxes collected from a rise in land values on average cancel out the drop in taxes in a downturn, I wonder who will actually benefit more from this whole episode — the State or the developers? One thing is certain: There will be more administrative work for all.

Executive Condominiums

Executive Condominiums (ECs), the hybrid public-private housing type originally designed to meet the needs of the sandwiched class, are in the limelight again, this time for the huge profits that owners could potentially reap given the present high resale values.

That huge profits can be and are being made cannot be denied, but this is because owners are open to greater risks due to their exposure to the private housing market. Who can tell what the market will be like when the first five-year minimum occupation period is fulfilled, or the next five, after which the EC units can be sold to foreigners?

It was not so many years ago, before the present market up-cycle, that owners of ECs struggled to find buyers and grappled with stagnant resale prices. Let us be clear: It is never a sure-win purchase.

To put this whole controversy into proper perspective, not many people know that owners of run-down or ill-maintained properties in red-light districts known for their unsavoury night activities are reaping close to a 100 per cent return on their investment if they had bought their properties before the current bull run.

Is it unreasonable then to expect that prices for resale ECs should show similar, if not greater, returns over the same period?

We should forget about introducing resale levies and what not to make the scheme more equitable. The permanent solution to the EC conundrum is one that ensures that our housing policies are flexible enough to accommodate all income categories so that there is no sandwiched class in the first place.

The authorities should ensure that there is sufficient supply in the private housing market to meet demand or else raise the income ceiling for HDB purchases to bring those left behind under the public housing umbrella.

Tweaking the present EC scheme only treats the symptoms, not the problem itself.

Colin Tan is Head, Research and Consultancy at Chesterton Suntec International.

Source : Today – 11 May 2013

HDB, private resale markets continue decline

The resale property market remained lacklustre last month with fewer transactions in both the Housing and Development Board (HDB) and private segments, indicating the latest round of cooling measures are taking effect.

Sales of previously owned HDB flats fell 6.2 per cent to 1,271 units last month from 1,355 units in March, data from the latest Residential Property Flash Report by the Singapore Real Estate Exchange (SRX) showed. The decline, however, was much steeper at 36 per cent when compared with the 2,000 flats sold in April last year.

The sentiment in the non-landed private residential resale market was equally weak, with only 572 homes sold last month. This is down 6.8 per cent from the 614 units sold in March and a decline of more than 50 per cent from the 1,240 units transacted in April last year.

The downtrend shows that the government’s cooling measures, such as a 30-per-cent cap on mortgage servicing ratio (MSR) for public housing loans, are taking their intended effect, said ERA Realty Network’s Key Executive Officer Eugene Lim. “As a result, cash-over-valuation has come down because the MSR cap limits people’s ability to pay more cash,” he said.

According to SRX, the median overall cash-over-valuation (COV) fell for the third consecutive month in April, weakening by S$1,000 to S$30,000. This is the lowest monthly COV since September last year. And while the median resale price for HDB flats edged up 1.1 per cent on-month to S$465,000 in April, Mr Lim predicts it may cool going forward.

“The HDB targets to launch at least 25,000 BTO flats in 2013. With a higher success rate of attaining their perfect home in the new flat launches, buyers could turn away from the resale market. Together with the new cooling measures, demand is expected to fall and this will help keep HDB prices stable,” Mr Lim said.

Over at the non-landed private residential resale market, prices remained subdued. Prices for units in both the Core Central and Rest of Central Region fell 1.9 per cent on-month to an average of S$1,772 and S$1,267 per square foot, respectively. In contrast, resale prices in the Outside Central Region saw a 1-per-cent increase to S$1,022 psf last month.

Sentiment in the resale market is in stark contrast to that for new private homes, where transactions soared to a record 2,793 units in March on a combination of new launches and attractive pricing.

“Some potential buyers might have been lured away from the resale market by these new launches, while others might also be withholding their purchase in anticipation of further price drops due to the cooling measures,” said Mr Alan Cheong, Senior Director of Research and Consultancy at Savills.

But he added that it may be too early to make a conclusive statement that the cooling measures have worked.

“I would like to see a couple more quarters of decline in both the new sales and resale markets while the global economy recovers, before I say for certain that the market has softened because of the cooling measures,” Mr Cheong said.

Source : Today – 11 May 2013