Tag Archives: UK Property Market

UK home sellers cut asking prices 1.6% in Nov

UK home sellers reduced asking prices in November for the first time in three months as demand for property dwindled before the Christmas holidays, Rightmove Plc said.

Average prices fell 1.6 per cent to £226,440 from October, when they rose 2.8 per cent, the owner of the UK’s biggest residential property website said in a statement yesterday. Prices have now dropped 6.6 per cent from the peak in May 2008.

‘In all but the most buoyant of markets, home moving comes second to Christmas festivities,’ Miles Shipside, Rightmove’s commercial director, said in the statement.

‘While the market has recovered from some dreadful lows, this month’s price fall proves that it does not yet have the strength to buck seasonal trends.’

Britain’s property-market pickup from the slump may reflect an ‘unusual’ imbalance between demand and supply which is unlikely to last, the Bank of England said last week.

Policymakers expanded their bond-purchase plan to £200 billion (S$462 billion) this month and Bank of England governor Mervyn King says he has an ‘open mind’ on whether to increase it further to aid the economy.

The pound was little changed against the US dollar yesterday, trading at US$1.6713 as of 9:10am here.

Asking prices fell the most in the Yorkshire and Humberside area, where they dropped 4.4 per cent from October, and in the North West, where they slid 3.8 per cent, Rightmove said.

London prices fell 3.1 per cent on the month, led by a 5.3 per cent decline in Barking and Dagenham.

Kensington and Chelsea, the city’s most expensive area, was the only one to show an increase. The 3.9 per cent gain there put the average price of a home at £1.97 million.

Kensington and Chelsea ‘is favoured by foreign buyers who have benefited from the weakness of the pound’, Mr Shipside said.

Last year, asking prices in England and Wales fell 2.9 per cent in November and declined further in December and January, according to Rightmove. Prices have risen in seven of the 10 months since then.

The Bank of England said last week that the outlook for the housing market ‘will depend, in part, on the supply of mortgage credit’.

UK mortgage approvals climbed to their highest level for 18 months in September. Loan approvals are still only half what they were when the credit crisis started in September 2007.

A separate report yesterday by the British Chambers of Commerce showed UK companies have found it harder to obtain credit since June as banks withhold loans.

The survey of 400 companies also found 64 per cent of them said their biggest obstacle to growth in the coming years was a lack of demand.

Source : Business Times – 17 Nov 2009

ING raises UK bubble fears

No underlying fundamentals for sector’s performance

ING Real Estate has raised concerns that a recent rise in UK commercial property prices could lead to a bubble, possibly causing values to fall again by end-2010, one of its senior executives said on Tuesday.

‘The size of that downturn will depend on the actual rate of the capital appreciation that we see now . . . if it’s too big, you could create a bubble,’ Kevin Aitchison, CEO of ING Real Estate Investment Management UK told Reuters in an interview.

The view echoed other major property investors who warned this month that Britain’s commercial property market recovery could be short-lived, if prices rise too quickly without growth in the economy and rental rates.

UK values rose 1.1 per cent in September, as they started to recover from a two-year downturn that saw valuations plunge 45 per cent, the benchmark Investment Property Databank (IPD) index showed last month.

ING Real Estate, one of the world’s largest property investors with a portfolio of 100 billion euros (S$208 billion), estimates actual UK market prices to have risen up to 23 per cent so far this year, however, due to huge investor demand.

‘At the moment, investor demand is huge but because the occupier side continues to deteriorate, the underlying fundamentals for property performance actually aren’t there,’ Mr Aitchison said on the sidelines of an ING Real Estate seminar.

He remains bullish about the long-term prospects for UK commercial property and sees the next three to five years as a positive time for UK assets as the occupier market recovers and rents start rising in 2011.

The company still has equity of between £200 million (S$462.9 million) and £300 million available for UK real estate, but is in no hurry to invest the money right now, due to continued risks in the market, Mr Aitchison said.

‘We are treading with caution. We will certainly try to invest that amount of money but it has got to be the right stock,’ he said, adding that weak occupier demand also makes this a bad time to invest in the development of new projects.

ING prefers UK real estate sectors such as retail properties like shopping centres and retail warehouses, and multi-tenanted industrial estates, in particular focusing on assets on long leases.

It is focused mainly on raising a UK property fund in partnership with private equity firm Hamilton Bradshaw, and does not have imminent new fund launches in the UK, Mr Aitchison said.

‘We’re always conscious of the fact that we still have cash for existing clients, and we need to make sure that we’re not raising money for the sake of it,’ he said.

Asked about the impact of an imminent split of ING Real Estate’s parent, the Dutch bancassurer ING Group, Mr Aitchison said that it ‘will be business as usual’.

ING Group is selling its worldwide insurance operations over the next four years as part of a restructuring ordered by the European Commission.

‘Even if we were real estate on its own, or part of insurance – real estate is one of the biggest managers in the world, insurance is fifth or sixth biggest in the world – so we will remain part of a substantial business,’ Mr Aitchison said.

Source : Business Times – 12 Nov 2009