Tag Archives: Singpore Residential Property

Singapore’s new private home sales rise 5.4% in May

New private home sales in Singapore saw a slight rebound in May compared to April, according to figures released by the Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA).

The number of units, excluding executive condominiums, climbed to 1,455 units in May, up 5.4 per cent from April’s 1,380.

Analysts said the uptick was driven largely by investor demand for new homes in the city fringes, as the price gap between these areas and the suburban regions narrows.

The launch of new private home projects in the King Albert Park area and Keppel Bay has stoked home-buyers’ interest in the city fringes.

Sales volume of new private homes there jumped by about 27 per cent, from 473 units in April, to 602 units in May.

Chua Yang Liang, head of research of Southeast Asia at Jones Lang LaSelle, said: “If you look at prices today, mass market versus the outside mass market — meaning your CCR (Core Central Region) and RCR (Rest of Central Region) region — the price band between these two markets have narrowed to an all-time low of about 40 per cent. Historically, it’s about 60 per cent.

“White Haven, Corals at Keppel Bay, as well as KAP Residences — these are what we classify as RCR. These projects are located typically your second ring that’s quite close to the city centre. In terms of price band, they’re fairly affordable compared to the other projects we’ve seen in the market. So the closeness of pricing has attracted some buyers back into the market.”

Chia Siew Chuin, director of research and advisory at Colliers International, said: “KAP Residences, it’s an integrated development and it’s a proven formula with regards to popularity.

“We also see Whitehaven in Pasir Panjang. This is a freehold development in Singapore and again, it’s very rare to find freehold developments in the suburb of Singapore.

“All these developments have their own attributes, so they’re very attractive to buyers during the launch.”

Still, mass market homes remained popular with home buyers.

D’Nest and new project Stratum condominium in Pasir Ris were two of the top ten selling projects in May, according to OrangeTee.

According to the URA, the take-up rate for new homes in the suburbs remained stable at 728 units in May compared to April’s 729 units.

Meanwhile, sales of new private homes in the city area dropped to 125 units in May, compared to 178 units in the previous month. Analysts said this was due to a curtailed demand from foreigners, who had been hit by the latest round of cooling measures.

Ms Chia said: “It would probably be better for developers to launch earlier rather than later due to the renewed concerns about the recovery of the global economic situation, notwithstanding the fact that developers will still continue to garner some level of support from first-time home buyers and HDB flat upgraders.

“The knock-off effects from the cooling measures and reduced affordability as a result would put people on a more cautionary mode. Taking all that into consideration, we would think that new homes sales will be within a normalised range and that would bring us to about 17,000 to 19,000 units in the whole year.”

Some analysts said the slight increase in new homes sales in May could mean demand for new homes may have stabilised. Going forward, they are expecting prices and sales volumes to remain stable, as investors take a wait-and-see approach, as the global economic uncertainty continues.

Over the next few months, market observers expect sales volume of new private homes to hover in the range of 1,300 to 1,600 units per month.

Source : CNA – 17 Jun 2013

Home prices at record high, seen peaking

Private home prices in Singapore have been on an uptrend post-global financial crisis, with the market having risen about 55 per cent since the middle of 2009 to hit a new high. Excess liquidity in Asian markets, a lacklustre United States economy and weakening European markets – as well as local factors such as low mortgage rates, higher immigration numbers, rising affluence and decreasing household sizes – have been driving demand for private residential properties in Singapore.

However, against a backdrop of increasing economic turmoil in the euro zone, slowing growth of Asian economies and increasing Government intervention, it appears that property prices here are beginning to peak.

Moderate rebound in Q2 2012

The Urban Redevelopment Authority’s (URA) flash estimate earlier this month of the private residential property price index for Q2 2012 reveals a moderate rebound from the previous quarter, where property prices dipped for the first time since Q2 2009.

The 0.4-per-cent increase from 206.0 in the previous quarter reflected a stabilising of the market. Prices were generally flatter for the third quarter running, recording no more than a 1.1 per cent difference in index points on a quarter-to-quarter basis. Comparatively, the price index was increasing at a sharper rate of about 2 to 10 per cent across all sub-markets before Q4 2010. Nonetheless, property prices have continued to scale new heights – touching a high of 206.8 index points.

In the individual sub-markets, the price index for the Core Central Region (CCR) recovered by 0.6 per cent following a dip of 0.6 per cent in the previous quarter. The price index for the Outside Central Region (OCR), which reflects the suburban mass market segment, increased at a slower pace of 0.4 per cent, compared to 1.1 per cent in the previous quarter, while the prices for the Rest of Central Region (RCR) remained unchanged. This indicates a rather flat trend across all the sub-markets.

Interestingly, the increase in the price index of the CCR sub-market narrowly outpaced that of the OCR in Q2 2012 – for the first time since Q4 2010. The OCR sub-market however remained robust and surpassed the RCR price index for the fifth consecutive quarter.

Mass market drives demand

The resilient OCR sub-market could probably be attributed to the implementation of the Additional Buyer’s Stamp Duties (ABSD) in December. Since its implementation, a sharp reduction in foreign demand for residential properties was observed, particularly that for investment-grade homes in the CCR and to a lesser extent the RCR sub-market.

URA data showed that the number of foreigners and companies that purchased uncompleted private residential units have decreased by about 34.7 per cent since Q4 2011. Moreover, cautious investor sentiment, as a consequence of global economic uncertainties, has dampened demand for such properties. The suburban mass market segment, which caters to the local population, remained largely unaffected. There was also a possibility that foreign demand spilled over to the more affordable OCR sub-market.

In Q1 2012, developers launched a large number of properties to meet this growing demand – a record 6,903 units, compared to 4,105 from the previous quarter. Of these, 6,526 properties were sold, with 80 per cent located within the OCR sub-market.

Prices likely to stay flat

The mid- to long-term outlook for global economies is generally optimistic. The International Monetary Fund forecasts the euro zone economies to recover by next year on the back of increased fiscal stability. Asian markets are anticipated to rebound due to the expansion of developing and emerging economies and the massive rebuilding of disaster-affected areas in Thailand, Japan and New Zealand.

In light of the positive international outlook, investor sentiment is likely to become less cautious and the demand for investment-grade residential properties here is likely to increase.

Population growth in Singapore is anticipated to slow with tougher immigration regulations and decreasing fertility rate. This will result in reduced demand for mass market properties in the mid to long term.

Moreover, a steady supply of residential properties in Singapore is expected in the near to mid-term. Major project launches expected in H2 2012 include Parc Olympia, Riversails and projects in Jalan Lempeng.

On the whole, we expect residential property prices in Singapore to remain largely flat with marginal and gradual growth, barring more Government intervention. The record supply in the pipeline could help alleviate any pent-up demand in the OCR sub-market, thereby preventing spikes in property prices. In the mid to long term, strengthening global economies would also boost investor sentiment, leading to a gradual recovery of CCR and RCR prices.

The authorities have said they will continue to monitor the residential market closely to ensure stability and sustainable growth. As such, based on the URA flash estimates for Q2 2012, we do not expect the imposition of more cooling measures yet.

By Alaric Yeo and Elaine Chow – analysts at HSR Research & Consultancy

Source : Today – 20 Jul 2012