Tag Archives: Singapore Property Market

ROLL OF HONOUR OR DISHONOUR?

There were two good property reads this week. One was a perceptive commentary which had “ghost towns” in its headline but it was not images of vacant HDB flats that came to my mind. But more of that later as I first need to lay the foundation for that story with the other, which should then lead us nicely to my comment on ghost towns.

The focus of this other news analysis was on the winning margins of tenders for state land. Two state land parcels with residential components have so far this year already fetched winning margins exceeding S$100 million. Are there more to come? There was only one such case for the whole of last year.

Whether by coincidence or not, these huge winning margins were achieved shortly after the announcement of cooling measures mid-January.

Market watchers say this was due to a bigger divergence of views among developers on the impact of the measures.

I am not too sure about this analysis but I am pretty certain that developers do not bid according to their views of what they feel is a reasonable value for the site given the cooling measures.

When they bid, it is to win and so it has to be above this figure. The difference is the element of risk that the developer undertakes. When the developer gets it right, the rewards are great. Continue reading

Property curbs are calibrated, targeted, pre-emptive: Mah

National Development Minister Mah Bow Tan said the latest property cooling measures were not meant to crash the market.

He described them as “calibrated”, “targeted” and “pre-emptive”. Mr Mah was speaking to reporters at a community event on Saturday.

Explaining the government’s rationale for the recently announced property cooling measures, Mr Mah said a judgement call was needed when property prices were moving faster than what the economy can support.

He said: “When you start to see people queuing up (at property launches), long queues, and you start to read about people buying 2-3 houses at the same time, people with no steady income….I think those are the sort of signs that there’s a little too much exuberance in the market.”

Mr Mah said that there is an abundant supply of private homes, citing figures to show that there are about 34,000 private properties in the market – equivalent to three years’ supply of homes.

He also said that the cooling measures are not permanent, adding that the government will keep an eye on the market and if they are no longer necessary, they will be removed.

Mr Mah noted that these measures will also help some Singaporeans to realise their dream homes.

He said: “These measures will help to ensure that prices are kept within fundamentals. If we can establish that and maintain that then I think there’s no reason why Singaporeans, young Singaporeans, middle-income Singaporeans cannot have that home that they desire.”

Of the four rounds of government measures to cool the red-hot property market over the last two years, the latest which came into effect on 14 January has been the most severe.

Market watchers believe the latest measures will have real bite and will prove more effective than previous attempts to cool rising property prices.

Some factors, like an increase in land supply, may also add downward pressure on private property prices, said analysts.

In the past three years, private developers sold an average of about 12,700 units annually. Should this number be halved this year, private property prices will also be affected, said analysts.

Hence, some buyers can look forward to see home prices taking a dip from their record highs.

Meanwhile, an analyst said completed private developments may prove more popular, following the introduction of the latest property-cooling measures.

SLP International Property Consultants’ research executive director, Nicholas Mak, said: “I think there will be many HDB upgraders who will prefer to buy completed properties, because if they were to sell their existing flats, they can borrow up to 80% of the price of the property from the bank, and at the same time, they would be able to move into the completed property immediately, thereby saving the rental cost.”

Source : Channel News Asia – 15 Jan 2011