Tag Archives: Shoebox Units

Shoebox wave heading to the heartlands

Govt raises red flag, as supply of such units expected to rise fourfold over the next three years

Slowly but surely, shoebox units are making their way into the heartlands – and National Development Minister Khaw Boon Wan has raised a red flag over the phenomenon.

Buoyed by strong rental demand, such units – which are smaller than 50 sq m – are increasingly popular with investors. Going forward, the question is whether that demand can be sustained, especially in the suburbs, he noted in Parliament yesterday.

According to Mr Khaw, there are 2,500 such apartments in the market, with about 80 per cent of them in the central region. Within the next three years, the number is expected to surge fourfold to 9,700.

“Unlike the existing shoebox developments, many of the new shoebox units will be located in the heartlands,” said Mr Khaw, who had previously expressed concerns over the growing popularity of these apartments.

Responding to questions from Jurong Group Representation Constituency Member of Parliament Ang Wei Neng – including whether the Government would consider tightening regulations for such units – Mr Khaw zeroed in on the proliferation of shoebox units in the heartlands, where the market is “untested”.

Mr Khaw added: “But because it’s an … untested market, it is hard for me to intervene, thinking I may know better than developers or investors.”

Mr Khaw reiterated the Government is watching the situation closely and he will not hesitate to intervene if there is clear evidence that investor demand for such units is unsustainable.

While the Ministry of National Development does not have a breakdown of the profiles of buyers of such units, Mr Khaw said: “Eyeballing some of the data we have suggests they are mostly Singaporeans with a HDB address – so they obviously don’t plan to stay there because they don’t be able to fit into this 50 sq m for a family of several.”

He added: “They must have seen shoebox units in the central region being able to be tenanted out easily with reasonable yield.”

Recently, projects that feature shoebox units have been launched in areas like Punggol, Woodlands and Bukit Batok.

Currently, shoebox units comprise about 1 per cent of the total private housing stock.

Noting the aggressive marketing of shoebox units since the middle of last year, SLP International research head Nicholas Mak said factors such as a slow-moving prime market, as well as the large number of suburban land parcels snapped up by developers, have encouraged developers to build more shoebox units in the heartlands.

Mr Mak noted that, despite the Government’s cooling measures, Singaporeans are still looking for ways to invest in property – given the low interest rates. With the typical budget of these property hunters at “less than S$1 million”, developers are trying to price their projects accordingly. “But in order to increase profitability, (developers) just build the units smaller”, he noted.

Mr Mak cautioned about a risk of oversupply – fuelled partly by investors’ mistaken belief that these units can continue to yield attractive rentals,

Jones Lang LaSalle head of research Chua Yang Liang, however, believes that there will be sufficient demand for shoebox units, with expatriates who are hired on local terms – particularly in the services sector – looking at the suburbs “as an alternative location”.

Anecdotally, Dr Chua has observed the trend of both the younger generation and the elderly choosing to stay on their own instead of with their families – which he said could fuel the buying of such units in the suburbs for owner-occupation.

For now, most buyers of shoebox units are investors, said Chesterton Suntec International head of research and consultancy Colin Tan.

But over time, the proliferation of such units, especially in the heartlands, could entail a social cost.

“The overabundance of shoebox units … might lower rents enough to persuade singles to venture out on their own, where people are encouraged to leave homes early,” he said.

Source: Today – May 15, 2012

Shoebox investment apartments at risk of hard landing

The number of small apartments, or shoebox units, in Singapore will nearly quadruple from 2,500 currently to 9,700 by 2015, the government said.

Currently, about 8 out of 10 shoebox apartments are located in the city, appealing to singles and expats with lower transportation costs and travelling time to their workplace.

But analysts question the appeal of shoebox units in the heartlands, where HDB flats are in abundance, providing more space for less rental.

Cheaper mortgage rates and plenty of liquidity were pushing investors to property, but speculation may be waning.

Since December’s cooling measures, transactions of uncompleted units in the resale market dropped to four per cent, while the number of private residential properties bought by foreigners and companies dropped to seven per cent.

Land supply for residential needs has also increased.

“The market is a lot cooler than it was, say, one year ago,” Minister for National Development Khaw Boon Wan said.

“(But) there are pockets of hot activities, particularly in the mass market, with the emergence of these shoebox units.”

Shoebox units made up 27 per cent of new home sales in the first quarter.

But unlike the soft landing of most property segments, analysts warn rentals and resale values of shoebox apartments could drop drastically.

“Shoebox (units) would be the first to suffer,” research head of Chesterton Suntec Colin Tan said.

“We may get (a situation) in the future where there will be falling prices for small apartments, and then rising prices for normal-sized apartments because they simply do not meet the requirements of the family.”

Source: CNA – 15 May 2012