Tag Archives: Property Investment

Green shoots, firm roots

As buyer interest returns to the market, we can expect to see increased activity from institutional investors drive up transactions next year

INVESTMENT sales have been rising steadily throughout the year. From $304 million in the first quarter, transactions have jumped more than tenfold to $3.1 billion by Q3 of 2009. While we expect total transactions this year to be far below the 2008 total of $17.9 billion, coming in the wake of the global financial crisis, it will still be a credible result. Nearly half of the transactions have come from the residential sector while the commercial real estate sector makes up the remainder.

Recovering? As the MAS’ monthly banking survey shows, lending to businesses in the building and construction industry has remained stable with $50 billion in lending in January dropping slightly to $48 billion in July

Unlike the red hot residential segment, transaction volume in the commercial segment has occurred at a more measured pace. There was a 10-month lull in the office market before it stirred with the sale of Parakou Building and Anson House in April this year. Parakou was sold for $81.38 million, or $1,287 per square foot (psf) while Anson House transacted at $85 million with a psf price of $1,100.

VTB Building, Cecil House and Aviva Building were later sold for between $710 and $1,061 psf at transaction sizes between $36 million and $71 million, all to the same buyer. The buyer, a joint venture between Yi Kai Group and Fission Group, plans to redevelop the offices into a residential project, subject to approval. In the hospitality sector, the 50-room Hotel Nostalgia was sold for $22 million, or $440,000 per room – which represents a new high for boutique hotels. Continue reading

Pre-emptive measures to further cool property market

THE measures taken by the Government to cool the residential real estate market are laudable. It is hoped that cool and level heads will prevail.

However, the interest absorption scheme (IAS) and interest-only loans are arguably offshoots of the disallowed deferred payment scheme (DPS). Buoyant trading and investment in property are also due to the current low interest rate environment, coupled with a dearth of attractive investment avenues over which we have little control.

Given the creativity and astuteness of property developers in Singapore (substituting IAS for DPS is a case in point), measures should also be adopted on a pre-emptive basis.

– Increase down payment ratio to 10 per cent

To nip the problem in the bud, there is one measure that is truly intuitive, and wholly within the Government’s control, which is to increase the cash down payment ratio to 10 per cent from the current 5 per cent of purchase price.

An increase in down payment ratio makes sense and is prudent. If a buyer wants to buy a property for $1 million but is unable to fork out $100,000 (or rather an incremental $50,000) in cash, he is not in a position to take on a leverage of $800,000. Continue reading