Tag Archives: Market Report

Most investors think crisis not over: Survey

They worry the high leverage in the system has not been reduced

Today is exactly one year to the day that United States investment bank Lehman Brothers collapsed, and for a majority of fund managers surveyed around the world, the financial crisis that failure sparked is not over yet.

Of the 153 largest institutional investors polled by business advisory firm FTI Consulting, 64 per cent felt that the crisis had not ended. Asian investors, including some from Singapore, were slightly more optimistic, with 62 per cent believing the crisis had some way to go.

British, US and Australian investors were the most pessimistic, with 73 per cent, 76 per cent and 80 per cent of investors respectively believing the crisis had not ended.

Commenting on the survey, FTI’s president and chief executive Jack Dunn said: ‘Anecdotal evidence gathered during the survey suggests that across the globe, investors were still concerned the amount of leverage in the system that caused the original problem has not been reduced.

‘The prevailing view was that there has been so much economic stimulus that markets cannot help but go up,’ he said. ‘The concern was what would happen when government money runs out.’

The paradox, said Mr Dunn, is that despite the negative outlook, global equity markets have rallied significantly in recent months. Continue reading

Govt takes fizz out of nascent property bubble

Cooling measures to curb speculation; move likely to hit sales, dampen prices

After two recent warnings that it was keeping a close eye on things heating up in the private housing sector, the government yesterday announced cooling measures to ‘temper the exuberance in the market and pre-empt any speculative bubble from forming’.

The Confirmed List land sales will be reintroduced from the first half of next year. The interest absorption scheme (IAS) that helped revive home sales earlier this year after the global financial crash has been scrapped with immediate effect.

While some of the measures had already been anticipated by major developers, property veterans were still a bit taken aback by the speed of the response. In particular, the demand-side measures – disallowing the IAS and the similar interest-only housing loans (IOL) with immediate effect – were expected only later. In addition, the property business has visibly quietened down at showflats over the past two weekends – indicating that buyer fatigue was setting in.

The Ministry of National Development (MND) said that ‘the government has introduced these measures now, because there are signs of increased speculative activity and private housing prices have also increased significantly since June 2009’.

MND added that a sample survey of recently launched projects showed that the take-up rate of the IAS was about 20-25 per cent.

Announcing the measures in Parliament yesterday, National Development Minister Mah Bow Tan warned that the government would continue to monitor the property market closely and would introduce additional measures if required. Continue reading