Condo rents falling, but leasing volume up

Average rents in Singapore fell in the first quarter of 2015 despite an increase in leasing activity, revealed CBRE and reported in the media.

In its report, CBRE said lease commencements rose 3.1 percent quarter-on-quarter to 15,229 in Q1 2015. On an annual basis, it was 13.5 percent higher than during the same period last year.

The rise was attributed to a flight to quality as tenants from older developments or HDB flats seized the opportunity to move into newly constructed condominiums at lower rents.

New permanent residents (PRs) could have also contributed to the increase as they rented homes while waiting to fulfill the mandatory three years prior to acquiring resale HDB flats.

However, the increase in rental volume failed to push up rents as it fell across all regions.

The rental index for the Core Central Region (CCR) registered the steepest decline of 1.9 percent quarter-on-quarter, followed by the Outside Central Region (OCR) which saw a drop of 1.8 percent. The Rest of Central Region (RCR) recorded the smallest drop of 1.6 percent.

Joseph Tan, executive director of residential at CBRE, explained that the sharper decline within the CCR and OCR was primarily due to an increased supply of rental properties.

He noted that the CCR, “which traditionally has the highest supply of rental stock, was hit by the shrinking budget of expatriates and the availability of newer accommodation at more attractive rents.”

Meanwhile, an unprecedented number of new condos were built in the OCR.

In Q1 2015, 2,976 new private homes were built which includes those within the OCR like Woodhaven with 337 units and Hedges Park with 501 units.

Tan revealed that most of these apartments were bought for investment and not for occupation by owners.

“Under the present lull market, these owners were more prepared to secure tenants at lower rents rather than leave them vacant,” he said.

As a result, the occupancy rate rose to 92.8 percent, while the number of vacant units fell 7.2 percent.

CBRE said average rent for luxury properties dipped two percent year-on-year to $4.95 psf per month. Prime properties saw rents decline 4.2 percent year-on-year to $4.55 psf per month, while rents for other properties fell six percent to $3.15 psf per month.

Looking ahead, the real estate firm expects leasing volume for the entire year to fall by five to 10 percent from last year, while overall rents are expected to drop by five to seven percent, given the mounting pressure from the growing supply of properties.

CBRE expects the number of new homes completed to reach 22,000 units by end-2015, or up 10.4 percent from 19,921 last year.

5 highest yielding rental properties in Singapore

Overall gross rental yields of non-landed private homes in Singapore range from 2.7 percent to 3.9 percent, according to an OrangeTee report.

Based on developments tracked by the consultancy, average rental yields in the Core Central Region (CCR) are about 2.7 percent to 3.5 percent, while the Rest of Central Region (RCR) are around 2.8 percent to 3.6 percent. But projects in the Outside Central Region (OCR) command the highest rental yields of between 3.2 percent and 3.9 percent.

In addition, there are 34 non-landed developments in the city-state that have rental yields of at least four percent and these rental gems have common characteristics. First, the majority (19) are located in the OCR, given the lower prices of suburban properties.

“As prices are one of the main determinants for rental yields, and since prices in the suburbs are usually relatively lower compared to the central region, the rental yields for suburban projects tend to be higher,” noted OrangeTee.

Second, 29 or 85 percent of them are 99-year leasehold projects due to the relatively lower psf price versus freehold homes.

“As tenants are generally not concerned about the tenure of the property, leasehold properties tend to have an advantage as compared to freehold when looking purely at rental yields,” shared the consultancy.

Developments with a large proportion of shoebox units also have higher gross rental yields. Suites @ East Coast has a large proportion of units under 50 sqm and has the highest rental yield of 5.7 percent among the 34 non-landed projects.

“However, one should not blindly jump onto the shoebox bandwagon. The performance of shoebox units is not homogeneous across the market, one should consider the rental demand and available supply of such units in the vicinity,” stated the report.

Interestingly, 20 of the 34 non-landed private residential projects are not within walking distance of 400 metres or less from an MRT station.

“This is understandable because projects located near MRT stations command a premium over projects located further away,” said OrangeTee. Although some tenants are willing to pay higher rents for a convenient location, there may be differences in rental and sale premiums.

“This would explain why projects that are relatively inaccessible are still able to command high rental yields,” added the report.

The non-landed developments studied have more than 100 units, while the resale prices span from Q2 2014 to Q1 2015. To mitigate the effects of outliers that could skew rental yields, projects with fewer than 20 rental transactions and five resale deals were excluded. Privatised HUDCs and executive condominiums (ECs) were also omitted. Consumers should note that gross yields do not include other costs, such as maintenance fees and vacancy costs.

Below are the top five non-landed private residential projects with the highest gross rental yields.

1. Suites @ East Coast
Region: OCR
District: 15
Close to MRT: No
Tenure: Freehold
Average Rent: $5.42 psf
Sales Price: $1,140 psf
Estimated Gross Yield: 5.7 percent

2. The Clift
Region: CCR
District: 1
Close to MRT: Yes (Tanjong Pagar)
Tenure: 99-Year
Average Rent: $7.36 psf
Sales Price: $1,858 psf
Estimated Gross Yield: 4.8 percent

3. Vista Park
Region: RCR
District: 5
Close to MRT: No
Tenure: 99-Year
Average Rent: $3.44 psf
Sales Price: $886 psf
Estimated Gross Yield: 4.7 percent

4. Park West
Region: OCR
District: 5
Close to MRT: No
Tenure: 99-Year
Average Rent: $2.87 psf
Sales Price: $745 psf
Estimated Gross Yield: 4.6 percent

5. Rivervale Crest
Region: OCR
District: 19
Close to MRT: No
Tenure: 99-Year
Average Rent: $2.81 psf
Sales Price: $759 psf
Estimated Gross Yield: 4.4 percent