Category Archives: Property Market / Real Estate

Green shoots, firm roots

As buyer interest returns to the market, we can expect to see increased activity from institutional investors drive up transactions next year

INVESTMENT sales have been rising steadily throughout the year. From $304 million in the first quarter, transactions have jumped more than tenfold to $3.1 billion by Q3 of 2009. While we expect total transactions this year to be far below the 2008 total of $17.9 billion, coming in the wake of the global financial crisis, it will still be a credible result. Nearly half of the transactions have come from the residential sector while the commercial real estate sector makes up the remainder.

Recovering? As the MAS’ monthly banking survey shows, lending to businesses in the building and construction industry has remained stable with $50 billion in lending in January dropping slightly to $48 billion in July

Unlike the red hot residential segment, transaction volume in the commercial segment has occurred at a more measured pace. There was a 10-month lull in the office market before it stirred with the sale of Parakou Building and Anson House in April this year. Parakou was sold for $81.38 million, or $1,287 per square foot (psf) while Anson House transacted at $85 million with a psf price of $1,100.

VTB Building, Cecil House and Aviva Building were later sold for between $710 and $1,061 psf at transaction sizes between $36 million and $71 million, all to the same buyer. The buyer, a joint venture between Yi Kai Group and Fission Group, plans to redevelop the offices into a residential project, subject to approval. In the hospitality sector, the 50-room Hotel Nostalgia was sold for $22 million, or $440,000 per room – which represents a new high for boutique hotels. Continue reading

Rental market here on road to recovery

Homes in districts 9, 10 and 11 are seeing more rental enquiries now that prime rents have fallen

BUFFETED by so much negative economic data, the residential rental market inevitably succumbed, with rents falling sharply by 8.5 per cent in the first quarter, and another 5.3 per cent in Q2. While the decline may be showing the first signs of easing, the leasing market remains depressed given the lingering concerns about the large number of new homes coming on stream.

Housing supply is perhaps the biggest influence on rentals. New home completions this year are expected to exceed 11,000 units, going by data from the Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA). On the other hand, the average long-term take-up stands at about 7,200 units a year. While this demand-supply imbalance will weigh on rents, the relatively smaller number of completed units expected next year (just over 5,000 units) may provide some reprieve, allowing the market to digest the excesses and rents to stabilise.

Also, the estimated number of completed units in 2011 and 2012 may be lower than stated given that some projects have yet to begin construction. Nevertheless, the supply pipeline is strong enough to keep the rental market in check, with any significant rise in asking rents by landlords likely to be faced with tenant resistance.

However, leasing demand in the past few quarters continued to be robust, underpinned by falling rentals. Leasing volume in July hit a record high of 4,252, about 11 per cent more than the previous record of 3,846 set in August last year.

This comes after a strong Q2 of more than 10,300 leasing transactions, just below the all-time high of 10,900 done in Q3 2008. What is even more encouraging is that the islandwide vacancy rate remained unchanged at 5.9 per cent as of Q2 2009, despite the large number of units completed so far this year (over 6,000 units). This is a testament to the depth of housing demand. Continue reading