Category Archives: Property Market / Real Estate

Property trough in sight: CBRE

Compared to the robust market conditions seen in 2013, sales of new private homes in the last two years have been severely depressed, with transactions halving to 7,300 units in 2014 and 7,440 units last year, according to CBRE Research.

The report stated that Singapore’s housing market is likely to remain flat this year as demand continues to be hindered by the property cooling measures, economic slowdown and rising interest rates.

As sales have slowed, developers are finding themselves stuck with many unsold units, but the situation is not as bad as before. The number of uncompleted unsold units fell to 23,000 at the end of 2015 from nearly 27,000 in 2014, said CBRE.

“The reduction is due to lesser new projects being added due to fewer sites being sold in 2015, translating to a limited new supply going forward.”

Meanwhile, the private property price index has dropped by 8.4 percent since peaking in Q3 2013. Specifically, the price gap between the Core Central Region and the outer regions have narrowed, presenting a window of opportunity for investors looking for good deals in the prime market, noted the consultancy.

It believes that after suffering nine quarters of price and volume adjustments, the trough may be in sight as supply runs low and prices reach an equilibrium.

“Should the government relax the existing cooling measures, it may stoke buying interest. When that happens, the window of opportunity will narrow and prices might see some upside as early as 2018, led by the prime segment.”

Chinese buyers shun Singapore

Discouraged by the high taxes in Singapore, fewer foreigners are purchasing private homes here, leaving the market to rely on local buyers, reported Reuters.

Data compiled by DTZ showed that foreigners, including permanent residents, purchased 499 homes in Q4 2015. This accounted for around 16 percent of total transactions, down from 30 percent recorded in Q3 2011 just before the introduction of the Additional Buyer’s Stamp Duty.

Acquisitions by the Chinese, considered one of the biggest foreign buyers of Singapore private homes, fell 40 percent from a year earlier to 151 units. DTZ noted that the figure is also down 80 percent from the peak in Q3 2011.

The figures were based on caveats lodged as of 15 January, with the land planning authority maintaining an online database.

“Chinese money is being attracted by Australia and the UK,” said Alan Cheong, Research Head at Savills Singapore.

He noted that the stamp duties should be rolled back to a level where the city-state can still capitalise on Chinese funds without attracting too much hot money.

“If we continue to sit by with all these measures, we are just going to miss the boat,” he said.

And with the benchmark 3-month Singapore Interbank Offered Rate (Sibor) on an uptrend, local buyers may also become cautious. The Sibor, which is used to set interest rates on mortgages, rose to 1.254 percent this week, or its highest since October 2008.