Category Archives: Overseas Property

Hong Kong office rentals arrest decline

Despite the slower pace of rental falls and increased leasing activity, vacancy rates are climbing, says UMA SHANKARI

THE Hong Kong office market is mirroring the trend seen lately in the Singapore market – rents are still falling, but at a slower rate. Data from property firm Savills showed that overall Grade A office rents fell by 5.8 per cent in the second quarter of 2009. This is a slowdown from the decline of 11.1 per cent seen in Q4 2008 and 10.2 per cent in Q1 2009.

‘The results indicate that the rate of decline of office rents has slowed, suggesting that we are approaching the bottom of the current down cycle,’ said Savills in a report.

Savills Research now expects the rate of decline of Grade A office rents to slow over the second half of 2009 and record another 10 per cent slide for the remainder of 2009 before stabilising.

Knight Frank, which does monthly rental updates, noted that the month-on-month decline in the average Grade A office rent slowed to 1.9 per cent in July, after falling 3 per cent in June. Knight Frank expects that Grade A office rents will bottom out by Q4 of this year.

The trend is similar to what is happening in Singapore. Office rents in Singapore fell for the fourth consecutive quarter in Q3 2009, but the pace of decline has eased on the back of returning business confidence, said CB Richard Ellis (CBRE). Continue reading

US commercial real estate prices resume slide in July

US commercial property prices renewed their steep decline in July as sector prices were down nearly 39 per cent from peak levels two years ago, said Moody’s Investors Service in a report. Moody’s/REAL Commercial Property Price Index (CPPI), released on Monday, showed its 10th consecutive decline in the index with a sharp 5.1 per cent drop in July.

Prices in office, retail and apartment properties had eased to 0.1 per cent in June, but reversed course in July to remain more in line with earlier slides of 7.6 per cent in May and 8.6 per cent in April.

After its latest decline, the CPPI index now stands 30.8 per cent below its year-ago levels and 37.5 per cent below the level seen two years ago. Overall, commercial property prices have now declined nearly 39 per cent since the peak of October 2007, Moody’s said.

The US$6 billion US commercial real estate market is a key focal point for the Federal Reserve and US lawmakers who have pegged it as a particular danger to the nascent economic recovery. Programmes aimed at reviving lending are just getting underway, but the efforts are complicated as falling revenue and prices are reducing value of the properties and causing defaults. Continue reading