Category Archives: Loan / Mortgage / Finance

TDSR encourages prudent borrowing: MAS

There have been improvements to the risk profile of borrowers thanks to the Total Debt Servicing Ratio (TDSR) framework, according to the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) in media reports.

Notably, more people are forking out a down payment of at least 30 percent, resulting in a lower debt quantum. The percentage of borrowers with a loan-to-value (LTV) ratio of more than 70 percent – or people who need a down payment of at least 30 percent – has fallen.

Wong Nai Seng, MAS Assistant Managing Director for policy, risk and surveillance, said in Q2 2010, this segment accounted for 77 percent of all housing loans taken out, but it dropped to 66 percent since 2012.

Moreover, the ratio of potentially over-leveraged borrowers has declined sharply. In 2011, the proportion of borrowers with two or more housing loans was at 30 percent, but it is now at 10 percent.

During the first 10 months of the TDSR, lending also decreased. In this period, an average of $2.3 billion mortgages was issued each month, down from $4 billion in the six months prior to its implementation.

“The TDSR is meant as a structural measure for the long term. It aims to strengthen underwriting standards of lenders and also to encourage financial prudence among borrowers and does that by matching the size of the loan to the borrowers’ payment (capacity) so they don’t take on too much borrowings,” said Wong.

Previous cooling measures, such as the tougher LTV rules, also played a role in improving the risk profile of borrowers.

Effects of TDSR so far

The impact of the Total Debt Servicing Ratio (TDSR) became quickly apparent when it was introduced in June 2013, with private home sales dropping 73.3 percent to 482 units in July 2013 from 1,806 units in June 2013, said media reports.

Analysts noted suburban homes were most affected. Data compiled by Knight Frank Singapore indicated new home sales in the suburbs fell 63 percent in H2 2013 from the first half of the year.

Aimed at ensuring financial prudence among borrowers, the TDSR specifies that the total monthly payments’ of a borrower, including car and home loans and even credit card debts, should not exceed 60 percent of the borrower’s income.

Alice Tan, Knight Frank’s Director of Consultancy and Research, said, “The TDSR basically impacts on mortgage loan eligibility and affordability of private homes and the mass market segment typically caters to upgraders and middle-income home buyers.”

Tan noted these buyers might have decided to forego their purchases after their loan requests have been rejected.

Meanwhile, the effect of TDSR on prices became apparent only on the latter part of the year. Notably, the Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA)’s residential property price index slipped 0.9 percent in Q4 2013, marking its first decline in almost two years.

Home prices dipped again in Q1 2014 by 1.3 percent – its biggest drop since Q2 2009 – when prices plunged by 4.7 percent.

The TDSR also affected the private residential resale market. CBRE figures showed that sales volume in the secondary market fell 50 percent in H1 2014 from H1 2013.

With this, some developers have offered discounts to boost sales. However, other developers are unlikely to do so for some projects as they have “limited room to adjust their prices due to the high land prices they have committed to, earlier on,” said Tan.

Moving forward, developers may build smaller units, which will enable them to offer affordable prices while keeping their profit margins.