Category Archives: Government

TDSR curbs should not constrain genuine, long-term local investors

I refer to the report “MAS relaxes TDSR loan curbs for some homeowners” (Feb 11), and welcome the tweak to the loan policy.

The Total Debt Servicing Ratio was introduced last June to encourage financial prudence and discourage people from speculative investment in property.

It has hit home sales and launches in the suburbs and, at this point, any further cooling measures would hurt the genuine, mid- to long-term investors.

There is a limit to how much a developer will lower prices to attract buyers, other than to entice the latter to much smaller, more affordable units.

More investors are looking at neighbouring countries and Australia for more flexible loan criteria, but with similar stringent screening of borrowers’ ability to repay the loan.

From an economic standpoint, one may ask whether Singapore benefits if our people invest their monies overseas. Recent reports about investing in Iskandar Malaysia suggest that more young people want to earn money in Singapore, but spend a luxurious lifestyle where cost of living is lower.

The TDSR hits Singaporean buyers harder than it does foreigners, leading to more co-ownership of private property among family members, who need a bigger loan due to the cash outlay for the Additional Buyer’s Stamp Duty.

It has probably a lower impact on first-time homebuyers than on property investors, more of whom are also turning to commercial/industrial properties for more growth in rental income.

I look forward to a TDSR framework that does not constrain genuine, long-term local investors and diminish their capacity to play critical economic roles here in the coming years. After all, property is a safer investment here than, say, stocks.

from James Poh Ching Ping

Source : Today 17 Feb 2014

Cooling measures still relevant as property prices are still high

In the commentary “Cooling measures worth tweaking” (Feb 14), the writer suggested that the low overall resale volume indicates that not much upgrading is taking place. He felt this is not a good situation as homeowners cannot fulfil their housing aspirations, and attributes it to the property cooling measures.

Even if he is correct in stating that not much upgrading is taking place, I believe this to be a result of the high property prices, which the cooling measures target to tame, rather than of the cooling measures themselves. As he noted, “under normal market conditions … households relocate to bigger or better homes as their income rises”. However, today’s high prices mean that few can afford to move to a bigger private home in a comparable location.

Sales information indicates that many private homes sold today are equivalent or smaller than some four-room Housing and Development Board (HDB) flats. This means most upgraders today will have trade-offs in terms of living space and location if they want the intangible benefit of perceived higher social status of living in private property and the convenience of access to recreational facilities.

Therefore, until property prices are at a more affordable level, I believe the property cooling measures are still relevant.

Moreover, there are also other reasons for the low resale volume. Most upgraders today are choosing not to sell their HDB flats as a confluence of factors has made it more attractive to keep them.

Firstly, the flat can fetch a very attractive rental as a result of the high property prices. If the upgrader bought his flat directly from HDB more than 10 years ago, the rental yield can easily be more than 10 per cent of his purchase price, which is impossible to obtain in any other asset class of similar risk.

Secondly, the low interest rate means that the upgrader has little need to release the capital locked up in his flat to lower his loan quantum to save interest payments.

Thirdly, the restriction on purchase of flats by private property owners means that an upgrader may prefer to keep his flat, rather than risk not being able to buy any flat in future.

From Chong Lee Ming

Source : Today – 17 Feb 2014