Monthly Archives: March 2010

Bubbles can be ‘good for property market’

Mr Chiu at The Vision showflat in West Coast Crescent. He says the property market here is enjoying a boom and government measures will not alter that. — ST PHOTO: DESMOND FOO

CONTRARY to what some believe, bubbles can be good for the property market, said the executive director of Hong Kong’s Cheung Kong (Holdings).

Mr Justin Chiu told reporters yesterday at the showflat of his company’s latest project here that he likes property bubbles because they fuel sales volumes and price rises.

Mr Chiu – who was moved to dress up as James Bond at launch parties in 2004 to stimulate interest – believes that what he calls optimum sentiment can buoy prices by up to 30 to 40 per cent. Without it, prices can fall by 50 per cent.

‘I like bubbles. It’s my religion. In a property market or any market, if there is some bubble, people will be more enticed to go into the market.’

‘If it’s a flat market like in 2003 (when Sars hit), even though I give you a discount and I dress up like James Bond…I sell fewer than 10 units.’

Mr Chiu, who stressed that property investment was a long-term game subject to short-term fluctuations, said people would not invest in property unless there was confidence. ‘If no one is buying, prices will fall…That’s why I said I like bubbles. Bubbles mean everyone is coming in.’

At Cheung Kong’s latest project, The Vision, sales are reported to be brisk despite relatively high prices. Buyers have bought 210 units of the 99-year leasehold condo in West Coast Crescent, attracted by early-bird incentives discounting quoted prices by 2 per cent to 3 per cent.

The official launch is to be held on Friday, but per square foot (psf) prices for the apartments have already set a net high benchmark for the West Coast area.

The 281 apartments were mostly priced around $1,000 psf to $1,200 psf. All except one of the 14 strata terrace houses – costing $3 million to $3.2 million apiece – have been snapped up.

Mr Chiu, who is nearly 60, says the prices are reasonable given the project’s location and quality finishings. ‘If the price is not reasonable, we would not be selling over 200 units in two weeks.’

Cheung Kong’s next project will be a site in Upper Thomson Road, which it won the tender for last November with a price of about $533 psf per plot ratio. Mr Chiu said it is likely to attract mainly locals and Chinese nationals.

He said Cheung Kong was looking at a few pieces of residential land. And together with Hongkong Land and Keppel Land – its partners for the Marina Bay Financial Centre (MBFC) project – Cheung Kong is also looking at buying offices.

More details will be revealed at the topping-out ceremony of Tower Two of MBFC next month.

Mr Chiu noted that the Singapore property market is now enjoying boom conditions, and government measures will not alter that, though there may be other risk factors such as wars. He said the key lies in the message given out with the measures, instead of the effectiveness of the measures.

‘To me, government measures are not important at all unless they are very drastic…Government is only a small factor of the free market forces. Unless it takes very strong measures…I don’t think it can alter the trend, (but) it can slow down (the market). I don’t think any Asian government is prepared to wreck the market.’

Source : Straits Times – 24 Mar 2010

Three residential sites up for sale by tender

THE flow of residential land onto the market continues with three government sites up for grabs by tender, and a fourth ready for release if developers show interest.

The three sites confirmed for tender are 99-year leasehold plots. Two are near MRT stations.

A plot at Boon Lay Way near Lakeside MRT station can yield 525 units, while a site across the road from Simei MRT station can yield about 250 flats.

The third site – at Tampines Road – is on the reserve list but was triggered for sale when a developer lodged an acceptable offer of $6.5 million. It is suitable for landed homes or apartments and will be launched for tender in about two weeks.

Ngee Ann Polytechnic real estate lecturer Nicholas Mak told The Straits Times: ‘We already know these development sites will be pushed out for sale, but it is very rare that the Government would release three sites for tender and put one more available for application on the same day.’

‘It appears it wants to strongly put the point across that there is enough supply of land and residential properties for sale, to both the public and developers.’

Savills Singapore’s director of investment sales and prestige homes, Mr Steven Ming, added: ‘Developers are selling out their projects and they need to have their landbanks replenished.

‘If they are unable to do so, they will simply choose to raise the prices of their existing inventory and sell slower instead.’

Mr Mak estimates that the top bids for the Boon Lay site will range from $360 psf per plot ratio to $420. Mr Ming expects a lower price of $260 to $300 psf ppr.

DTZ’s head of South-east Asia research, Ms Chua Chor Hoon, tips bids of $330 to $390 psf ppr, considering Caspian nearby is selling for $647 to $732 psf.

The likely selling price of units on the Boon Lay Way site could be $720 to $780 psf, she said.

Experts tip the Simei site to attract bids of $320 to $410 psf ppr, translating to likely prices for flats of $750 to $850 psf.

Mr Mak reckons the Tampines site could attract bids of $335 to $390 psf ppr.

A fourth site that might hit the market is at Stirling Road. It could yield 405 units but is for sale under the reserve list system, so developers who are keen must indicate their interest by committing to a minimum bid that the Government deems acceptable.

‘If it is released for sale, the top bids could range between $500 and $550 psf ppr or $240 million to $264 million,’ said Mr Mak.

‘It will be popular with developers and home buyers because it is near the Queenstown MRT station and Anchorpoint shopping centre.’

Mr Ming is looking at possible bids of $510 to $600 psf ppr, with a final selling price of $1,100 to $1,300 psf.

The Government has sold four residential sites under the confirmed list since the start of the year. These sites were scheduled for tender without developers having to first indicate interest.

A further two private residential sites – at Sembawang Road and Upper Serangoon Road – will be up for sale via the confirmed list next month, said the Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA).

A site on the reserve list at Sengkang West Avenue was sold last month while another two sites – at Upper Changi Road North and Tampines Road – have been triggered for sale after acceptable bids were offered.

The tenders for the Boon Lay Way and Simei sites will close on May 4 and 11 respectively.

Source : Straits Times – 24 Mar 2010