Monthly Archives: September 2009

Watching HDB price behaviour, sensibly

THERE is a rising pitch of anxiety evident in queries and feedback about HDB housing in recent months. These have centred on affordability mainly, no surprise considering that the sudden spurt in private property prices since July has boosted HDB values, which already were holding better during the recession. Hence, complaints about cash over valuation. Why don’t buyers exercise their democratic right to not pay a premium by looking in towns less ‘prime’? Home buyers have also touched on policy issues like household income ceiling and the operation of ethnic quotas. National Development Minister Mah Bow Tan addressed most outstanding grouses in a well-timed statement in Parliament last week, but such is the variety of need and the habits of personal preference that assurances would still leave some home-seekers unconvinced.

Affordability is a bugbear, which in turn influences notions of supply relative to demand. Median income and the ratio of household income used for loan service (up to 30 per cent, as a general rule) cited by the minister are indicative of most people’s ability to pay, but these are rough guides. In every flat type of up to five rooms and the corresponding price ranges, households which fall below the median income line could progressively be less able to own their homes. That’s a lot of families. Financing difficulty can also arise when a family chooses a bigger flat than it can pay for, or needs. There are far too many of these big-is-better purchasers. But this is also where the comprehensiveness of HDB’s income-differentiated schemes and the different types of supporting grants available reinforce affordability. Continue reading

Singapore drops 20 spots in office rental ranking

SINGAPORE has fallen out of the list of the 20 most expensive office locations in the world.

This comes after the country posted the second biggest drop in average Grade A CBD office rental values in the first half of this year from end-2008 levels, according to Collier International’s latest Global Office Research Report, which surveyed 170 cities across 53 countries.

However, the Republic’s office supply pipeline is the eighth biggest, with 10 million square feet under construction. ‘This is likely to continue to keep office rents in the doldrums for a while more, despite the improving economic outlook,’ Colliers International said.

Rival Jones Lang LaSalle (JLL) yesterday said the stock of shadow office space in Singapore – this refers to excess space that companies do not need and try to sublet – has shrunk from about 800,000 sq ft in July this year to roughly 700,000 sq ft this month. ‘Some major financial institutions that were previously looking to sublease office space have aborted their plans in view of improved hiring expectations,’ JLL said.

Office-leasing activity has increased significantly although much of the demand is a result of a ‘flight to quality’ rather than expansion plans, says JLL’s head of commercial leasing Chris Archibold. ‘The recent uplift in market activity is centred on new office buildings scheduled for completion in 2009, as well as 2010 and 2011 for some major occupiers. We expect leasing activities to pick up in these buildings over the next two quarters as companies take positions on business strategies including headcount planning,’ he added.

JLL’s preliminary numbers show the monthly average gross effective rent of Prime Grade A properties in CBD Core fell by 12.6 per cent quarter on quarter to $8.30 per square foot (psf) in Q3 2009. The average rental is now below the 20-year historical average of $8.40 psf per month after sliding 54.9 per cent from the peak of $18.40 psf per month in the same quarter last year. There have also been instances of landlords offering ‘cash subsidies’ to fund fitting-out costs of new tenants moving into their buildings. ‘Rent-free periods, while negotiated on a case-by-case basis, are also becoming more widespread as landlords sought to maintain headline rents,’ JLL said. Continue reading