Daily Archives: 24 Sep 2009

Sustainable home sales

Strong sales volume has been the cause for the government’s concern that a bubble was building up, says HAN HUAN MEI

DEFYING all expectations, Singapore’s residential property market has rebounded in the thick of the worst recession the country has seen. Buyers turned up in droves at recent project launches, sending the home sales figures in July to its highest level since the peak in June 2007. New home sales between January and August were just 21 per cent below the total number of homes sold for the whole of 2007.

But going forward, prices of mass market and mid-tier projects are expected to face some resistance. The number of launches is also expected to be limited for the rest of the year. Even as the market was debating the outlook, the government announced anti-speculative measures mid-month which makes it almost certain that sales volume and prices will moderate.

The robust residential market of the past few months seemed to mirror the peak in 2007, notwithstanding the recession. Market sentiment ran high as the stockmarket rally continued for four months starting in March. The strong take-up of new homes, led by mass-market projects back in February, filtered up to the mid-tier segment by April and to the prime segment by May.

Buyers have been prowling showflats, concerned that home prices may be rising again after having corrected from peak levels. It appears that what started out as pent- up demand progressed into investment demand, and to some extent, speculative demand. Developers launched 10,496 new homes for sale from January to August, compared to 6,107 units in 2008. The total number of new homes sold up to end-August was 11,721 units, far exceeding the 4,264 new homes that were sold in all of 2008. Continue reading

Bull charge

IS THE seeming recovery in the property market for real? It’s the million-dollar question that no-one – neither developers, analysts nor homebuyers – can answer with any certainty.

The residential market in Singapore took off in February this year, after subdued sales through all of 2008. The bull run culminated in a record 2,772 new private homes sold by developers in July this year.

A question mark now hangs over how the cooling measures announced in Parliament last week by National Development Minister Mah Bow Tan – to “temper the exuberance in the market and pre-empt any speculative bubble from forming” – will affect the market. Analysts say the measures, which include banning the interest absorption scheme, are not likely to keep away genuine buyers.

Speculators, on the other hand, might think twice.

The first major launch since the measures were announced – CapitaLand’s The Interlace – still saw healthy take-up. Of the 360 units released for sale, 233 units or 65 per cent were sold as of Sunday. Continue reading