Daily Archives: 26 Aug 2009

Structural changes needed

RECENT reports suggest that property prices are now about 19 times the average annual household income.

Can an average Singapore household afford even the low- to mid-end private condominium with the current going rates of $800 to $1,200 per sq ft? Based on a typical household size of 3.5 persons and median household income of $5,500, a four- to five-room apartment of say 1,200 sq ft would cost around $960,000 to $1.44 million, or an average of $1.2 million.

That would work out to a ratio of 19 times the median annual household income. Even if we were to use $8,000 as the median monthly household income, which is the salary limit which bars one from buying an HDB flat, the ratio is about 12.5 times.

However, if we were to use only 35 per cent of one’s income to service a housing mortgage, which is the recommended percentage under prudent financial planning, then the ratio becomes 52 times and 36 times respectively, assuming 100 per cent mortgage financing and zero interest. Is this sustainable? Continue reading

Prime home prices may rise 18% by end 2010: UBS

The analysts say mass launch prices have hit 2007 peak, and may stagnate

LAUNCH prices for new private homes rose 10 per cent and 18 per cent in prime and mass districts respectively in the first half of 2009, according to UBS Investment Research.

On the back of this, analysts Regina Lim and Michael Lim now expect prime prices to rise 18 per cent from here to 2007 peak by end 2010, as interest continues to improve and foreigners start to buy. However, luxury prices are not expected to reach the $4,000-$4,500 per square foot (psf) levels seen in 2007. By contrast, mass launch prices have reached the 2007 peak due to fervent buying by locals and prices could stagnate at current levels, the analysts said in an Aug 24 report: ‘For mass market launch prices, we believe they could stagnate at current levels after rising around 20 per cent in 2009.’

UBS’ research also showed that most of the demand for private homes this year came from local buyers. In the first seven months of 2009, Continue reading