Daily Archives: 17 Aug 2009

Have we bounced off the bottom of the property cycle?

IT was barely a year ago that property prices were plummeting.

Since then, the world’s central banks have flooded the markets with an unprecedented liquidity tsunami that has lifted prices of assets like stocks and property. Liquidity comes in many forms, the most evident and tangible is lower interest rates, which immediately lower mortgage costs and allow potential borrowers to borrow more with the same level of disposable income.

It also reduces the returns on deposits which make it more attractive for depositors to redeploy their funds into higher yielding and more speculative assets like shares and property. Other forms of less tangible liquidity measures involve providing cheap funding for banks and printing money.

In China, the liquidity came in the form of generous lending by state-owned banks which boosted lending in the first half of 2009 by 7.37 Continue reading

Worst is over for Singapore’s economy

THE worst is over for the Singapore economy and the labour market has stabilised, Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong said as he sounded a note of cautious optimism last night.

Although the third quarter should be all right, the outlook beyond it is still unclear, he said, adding: ‘No signs of Christmas orders pouring in yet.’

However, Singapore is well-poised to pick up strongly again because of its comprehensive and decisive response to the downturn, Mr Lee said.

Although the economy contracted 6.5 per cent in the first half of the year, it was not as bad as feared, he noted.

‘The eye of the storm has passed,’ he said.

Latest figures show that the economy grew 20.7 per cent in the second quarter over the first quarter, the first positive quarter after four Continue reading