Monthly Archives: April 2011

Singapore property market slows in first quarter

Prices of residential properties across all housing categories continued to see a rise of 2.2 per cent in Q1 2011 although at a slower pace, reflecting the accumulated effects of the government’s cooling measures in January 2011 and ample supply in the pipeline. Compounding the slow down in momentum were also external economic risks factors like the Middle East political unrest and Japan’s crises.

According to the property price index of all private residential properties in Singapore, the pace of increase has moderated from 2.7 per cent in Q4 2010 and is the 6th consecutive quarter to see a slow down in prices.

Condominiums and apartments saw the least increase in prices at 1.7 per cent while landed homes experienced an increase of 3.9 per cent, the highest amongst all residential categories.

Meanwhile, prices of condominiums and apartments in the Core Central Region (CCR), Outside Central Region (OCR) and Rest of Central Region rose 1.1 percent, 3.1 percent and 2.0 percent respectively. As loan quantum for subsequent properties have been reduced to 60 per cent since the new measures were implemented, investors whom are tied down by a lower loan quantum are looking outside the CCR and exploring options in the OCR and RCR zones. As such, several mass market projects are also seeing an average launch price of above S$1,000psf (US$815), much to the dismay of many buyers.

Sales volume reported in Q1 2011 reflects genuine demand by occupiers and investors and shows a drop in secondary market sales as substantiated by a 24.6 per cent fall in resale transactions to 3,191 units and a 25.5 per cent fall in sub-sales volume to 550 units. Sub sales volume is often seen as a leading indicator of speculative activities in the property market.

The rental market continued to fare well this quarter recording an impressive 10,162 leasing transactions, the highest 1st quarter statistics since 2000.

2,230 private residential units received their Temporary Occupation Permit (TOP) in Q1 2011, made up of 2,132 non-landed units and 98 landed ones. Major projects include two condominiums in Sentosa Cove – Seascape (151 units) and Marina Collection (124 units), Nassim Park Residences (100 units), Amber Residences (114 units), Duchess Residences (120 units), One Shenton (341 units), The Peak @ Balmeg (180 units) and The Clift (312 units). Most of these projects are located in the prime districts and the onslaught of supply may exert some pressure on rents there.

New launches fared well in March after achieving a 25 per cent increase in sales as compared to the month before. As such, property developers are seen pushing forth their launches to ride on this wave. Analysts have observed that with the abundant supply and robust pace of the Government Land Sales (GLS) Programme, it makes more sense for developers to launch projects as soon as possible.

Hedges Park, a 99-year leasehold condominium with 501 units at Upper Changi Road, had 130 of their 200 released apartments sold at an average selling price of S$850psf (US$693).

Over at H2O Residences in Seng Kang, 255 units were sold by City Developments in March and another 35 units were sold in April at an average selling price of SGD$930psf (US$758).

In Yishun, 8 Courtyards, a 99-year leasehold condominium had 202 of its 280 released units sold at an average selling price of SGD$795psf (US$648). 8 Courtyards consists of 654 apartments and 2 commercial shop units.

Within this month or next, Wing Tai is expected launch Foresque Residences, a 99-year leasehold site at Petir Road. Previously, City Developments’ Tree House nearby was snapped up at its launch in April 2010 as few new projects were situated in the vicinity.

By Stuart Chng is Senior Division Head of Savills Residential (Singapore)

Home loans – what to look out for

How to shop for a housing loan under today’s interest rate, housing conditions?

How do you assess your package? How much should you borrow?

Following the property cooling measures in January, home buyers have become more cautious in their property search. However, buying interest has remained intact given the strong economic outlook, ample liquidity and low interest rates. With the rising cost of living, property remains an attractive option to buyers as a hedge against inflation.

Against the current backdrop, home-buyers should consider several factors before signing on the dotted line.

Regulatory Impact

Home buyers should first evaluate the impact of the new regulations on their financing options and costs. One implication is that financing available for a second property has dropped to 60 per cent of the property value. This means that home-buyers’ debt burden will rise given the higher cash outlay to be committed upfront.

HDB upgraders should be aware that financing granted is only up to 60 per cent for their new purchase, even if they are in the process of selling their existing flat. However, banks may still be able to offer a loan of up to 80 per cent if they can provide evidence of the sale of the existing home before the loan is disbursed.

Home owners should also be aware that they will have to pay a seller’s stamp duty if they sell their property within the first four years of purchasing their property. Although this stamp duty reduces in proportion over a period of four years, this has increased the cost for property owners looking to sell their property within a short period.

Hence, if the intention is to sell the property within four years, buyers should assess if they can achieve breakeven when the property is sold.

Affordability

There are many factors to consider in assessing the financing quantum property buyers should take. A key consideration is the stability of their income source and the availability of CPF savings to service the loan.

To ease their monthly cash flow, property buyers can consider setting aside some CPF in their ordinary account for monthly instalment servicing instead of using it all for lump sum payment.

The loan tenor is another important factor to consider. A longer tenor allows buyers to stretch their repayments and keep cash flow manageable, while a shorter tenor enables them to repay the loan faster and save on loan interest .

More importantly, buyers should take into account that future rate increases could drive up monthly instalments and result in financial hardship. For every 1-per-cent increase in interest rate, the monthly instalment will rise by about S$500 for a S$1 million loan stretched over 30 years.

Hence, home owners should set aside sufficient funds to meet rising interest rates and any unforeseen circumstances.

Ideally, they should have a holding power of at least two to three years and ensure that monthly loan repayments are not more than 35 per cent of the gross monthly household income.

If the property is for investment and rental income is used for loan servicing, they should also factor in possible drop in rental rates.

To ensure financial liquidity, it is prudent to maintain 18 to 24 months of monthly instalments per property in their bank account, to allow ample time to sell off the property in case of emergencies. Prompt repayment will also ensure a good credit record with the bureau and facilitate future borrowings.

Home buyers should take into account other miscellaneous costs incurred in owning a property. These include property taxes, MCST charges for condominiums and strata bungalows, and fire insurance premium.

Choice of Home Loan

Home buyers are unique in their risk appetite and income profile, and thus should take the time to select a home loan that best matches their needs. They should discuss their financing requirements with their preferred banker to customise a home loan package to meet their needs.

Home Loans Pegged to Singapore Interbank Offer Rate (SIBOR) /Swap Offer Rate (SOR)

While the current low SIBOR /SOR-pegged home loans allow home buyers to capitalise on lower interest rates, such loans are more volatile in nature. Borrowers’ monthly instalments will vary with the constant changes in cost of funds and would be first to be affected by higher repayments in a rising interest rate environment.

However, some home loan packages offer the option of constant monthly instalment (CMI) feature to mitigate these inconveniences. For example, UOB’s SOR home loan with CMI feature allows customers to fix their monthly instalments for up to three years, depending on the loan package selected. If interest rates move up, they can be assured that their monthly cashflow will not be disrupted.

If interest rates decline, more of the principal amount is paid off thus saving more on loan interest

Floating Board Rate Loans

Floating board-rate loans offer more stability as the mortgage rates do not vary with SIBOR/SOR. In addition, packages with no lock-in period gives home owners the flexibility to do partial repayments at no additional cost, without having to time the partial repayment at the SIBOR/SOR re-pricing date.

In a rising interest rate environment, such packages are advantageous over loans pegged to SIBOR/SOR as the impact on the cost of funds is not immediate.

Fixed Rate Loans

Fixed rate loans offer the most stability. However, such loans come with a premium and home owners could be tied to a higher fixed rate while cost of funds remains low. These loans are suitable for owner occupiers and those with a longer investment time horizon as partial repayments are generally restricted with penalty.

To enjoy the best of both worlds, home owners can split their loan into a fixed rate loan and a floating rate loan to hedge against any increase in interest rates and allow greater flexibility in repayment under the floating rate loan.

Other factors to consider in the choice of home loans include penalties for partial prepayment or redemptions and conditions for refund of legal fee and valuation fee subsidies granted during loan take-up.

As a form of protection, home buyers could also consider taking up a mortgage reducing term assurance which will pay off their housing loan and protect their loved ones from debt burden in the event of unfortunate circumstances.

By Chia Siew Cheng – head of the loans division at United Overseas Bank