Daily Archives: 12 Sep 2009

Asia at risk of asset bubbles:Fosler

THE president of a prominent US research group has joined the growing ranks of economists warning against escalating asset prices in Asia.

The huge fiscal stimulus packages and flush liquidity set ‘the stage for asset bubbles to move out of the United States and into Asia’, said The Conference Board’s Gail Fosler at the CapitaLand International Forum yesterday.

Asia needs to keep a close eye on this risk, she emphasised. ‘Valuations at which acquisitions are made, at which underlying business investments are made, these acquisition prices are going to be almost generically extremely high, and I think this is going to pose a significant business challenge.’

Several economists have cautioned against potential speculation in the region’s equity, real estate and commodity markets after governments turned to fiscal stimulus and looser monetary policy to counter the downturn. Bank of China’s vice-president Zhu Min also said this week that liquidity could be heating up these markets.

Observers are training their attention on China, where property prices have risen rapidly on the back of record lending and growing optimism. Home prices in the country’s 70 biggest cities went up one per cent year-on-year in July, and again by 2 per cent year-on-year last month. Continue reading

Within a family’s reach

I THANK Mr Ng Kok Lim (’Do the criteria reflect reality?’), Mr Hoon Tze Ming (’Home affordability fails to factor in opportunity costs’) and Mr Chew Kim Cheer (’Solve key concern – soaring resale prices’) for their letters last Saturday.

As the public housing authority, HDB has two key responsibilities: to help Singaporean families set up their first home; and to ensure flat values for the 80 per cent of Singaporeans who are home owners are sustained over the long term.

To do this, HDB adopts a two-pronged approach. First, ensuring affordability for first-time home owners; second, calibrating new flat supply to meet demand.

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Affordability

THE Government provides generous housing subsidies. HDB flats are thus affordable by any measure. On average, first-time home buyers use only 17 to 29 per cent of household income for their loans, below the international benchmark of 30 per cent.

A first-time couple earning $4,000 a month buying a resale four-room flat at $300,000 will need only 25 per cent of their monthly income. Their Central Provident Fund (CPF) contributions ($920) will cover almost all of the instalment, with only $81 paid in cash. New flats are equally affordable. Continue reading